Tomorrow is today.
Mark
Thank you for taking the time to find Morison's statement. It is illuminating. Let's take a look at it.
First Morison confirms the USN report that reloading was usually accomplished within 20-30 minutes.
Secondly Morison indicates that the events on Suzukaze were such an outlier that it was significant enough to include in his account. We know it was an outlier because he compares her performance against the standard, the fact he doesn’t discuss any of the other destroyer’s reloading time, and that Suzukaze’s failure to reload to standard had no bearing on the outcome of the battle. It is an observation of something unusual.
Thirdly he gives us the reason for the failure to reload to standard: fire.
Finally it likely Morison’s source is not the USN report. The latter stated 20-30 minutes, Morison gave 20-25 minutes. Two different time sets. If Morison had been using the USN report, he wouldn’t have changed the times. When I cite a source, I use exactly what the source provides or the information is no longer supported by the source.
WRT the source you referenced WRT reloading times, I would want to sanity test this against reported field performance, in as many plausible accounts as I can find.
Agree. We have one primary account and one likely primary account (Morison’s info is likely from interviews) for a time to complete reloading under all but exceptional circumstances as 20-30 minutes. We have one outlier that is explained by a unique situation.
So we have nothing that challenges the 20-30 minutes reload time under all but unique circumstances. The outlier can be handled in the rules that a fire onboard prevents that turn from being used for reloading. Bad weather is already in the rules. Being under shell fire doesn’t affect reloading as ships do everything under fire and I have already included radical maneuvers as preventing reloading.
After working through this discussion, here are my recommended changes:
'I would recommend a house rule that the Japanese destroyers would need to maintain a steady course (no turns more than 3-points, evasive maneuvers, or rolling to evade torpedoes), take no hits, have no fires onboard, or have weather greater than Force 4 for a turn to count towards reloading. At the beginning of the 3rd turn (12 minutes) players can roll to see if the reload process is completed (1-2). Beginning of 4th turn, 1-6. 5th turn, 1-10. 6th turn automatic. The turn of firing is the first turn of reloading as torpedoes are fired before movement if maintaining a steady course.'
I will need to think about the Force 4 weather.
The final rule is going to be more influenced by the latter than the former.
Which my House Rule does. It uses information we have, not information that we assume to exist. It incorporates outliers using our available information using models that already within the simulation. Find more data and the model can be adjusted. To assume there is more data that contradicts what we have is hope, not a method. We can also assume that new data will only confirm what we already have. Find the data that breaks the model. That is what I am doing here, challenging the current reloading model with data.
v/r Jeff